Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.282462 0.329138 0.380812 0.442218 0.513165 0.592523 0.687995
2025-03-23 0.216687 0.282420 0.363274 0.469835 0.606391 0.775324 1.000014
2025-03-30 0.166677 0.235630 0.327150 0.457091 0.636405 0.874686 1.214918
2025-04-06 0.132882 0.200859 0.296904 0.441832 0.654258 0.953393 1.405711
2025-04-13 0.108773 0.174322 0.272120 0.427713 0.667987 1.023680 1.588680
2025-04-20 0.094680 0.159849 0.261901 0.432056 0.707204 1.132840 1.838817
2025-04-27 0.087241 0.154380 0.264199 0.455179 0.777013 1.294811 2.187386
2025-05-04 0.079280 0.146608 0.261313 0.468783 0.832078 1.438268 2.521147
2025-05-11 0.071134 0.137149 0.254038 0.473441 0.871766 1.559536 2.829908
2025-05-18 0.063238 0.126881 0.243780 0.471076 0.898112 1.659711 3.111568
2025-05-25 0.055984 0.116704 0.232226 0.464547 0.915523 1.744985 3.374367
2025-06-01 0.050094 0.108313 0.222857 0.460727 0.937045 1.839094 3.662117
2025-06-08 0.043295 0.097227 0.207087 0.442926 0.930542 1.882160 3.862291
2025-06-15 0.041916 0.097428 0.214125 0.472280 1.021705 2.123405 4.476833
2025-06-22 0.036899 0.088893 0.201828 0.459564 1.024759 2.190233 4.748215
2025-06-29 0.032347 0.080703 0.189140 0.444230 1.020129 2.240341 4.989609
2025-07-06 0.028479 0.073513 0.177680 0.430037 1.016028 2.290594 5.235881
2025-07-13 0.026332 0.070167 0.174537 0.434403 1.053827 2.434276 5.699878
2025-07-20 0.025557 0.070144 0.179184 0.457648 1.137638 2.687438 6.433651
2025-07-27 0.024256 0.068562 0.179852 0.471323 1.200377 2.899390 7.095088
2025-08-03 0.022580 0.065733 0.177050 0.476005 1.241845 3.066428 7.668766
2025-08-10 0.020723 0.062116 0.171755 0.473628 1.265429 3.193477 8.159636
2025-08-17 0.018862 0.058205 0.165179 0.467064 1.277596 3.294200 8.596679